Barrera-Tapia and other Predictions for the Week
By Jim De Pierro
Terron Millett 27-3-1 (19 KOs) vs. Ricardo Williams 7-0-0-1 NC (5 KOs)
(HBO under card)
I really dont see any way Terron Millett wins
this fight. The experience edge is certainly in Milletts
favor but I dont even think Millett will be able
to even outsmart Ricardo
Williams who is one of the slickest prospects to
come out of the 2000 Olympic class. Whenever a prospect
with so few fights in the professional ranks takes on
his first bona fide contender and former champion there
is always the chance that he will be exposed. I dont
see that happening with Williams whose level of opposition
for someone with 8 fights has been absolutely phenomenal.
Williams has never faced a fighter with a losing record
and of those eight men only two of them came into their
fight with Williams coming off losses. The combined
record of Ricardo Williams opponents at the time they
fought him is 73-15-2 (44 KOs). Clearly Williamss
people believe that their kid has got the goods and
is going to beat Millett on HBO.
Millett himself may think that he can and will win this fight but I see this match up as one of desperation on the part of Millets team in the hope that they can somehow get lucky and walk away with a win on HBO and possibly milk his name for another high profile fight. If Millett wasnt shot as a fighter going into his last high profile fight with Arturo Gatti earlier this year he certainly is now. I think Gatti absolutely destroyed Millett. Millett will ever be the same fighter as result of the Gatti fight, which at the very least should be a candidate for KO of the year. Millett, in the one fight he has had since the Gatti fight struggled to a split decision win over unheralded 15-17-1 Damone Wright. This Wright fighter was 35 years old and had lost 17 times which means he is probably almost as shot as Millett even though Wright was never much to begin with. If Millett has to struggle to beat a 35-year-old .500 fighter clearly he is not the same fighter who won the IBF jr. welterweight belt in 1999 against Vince Phillips.
Ricardo Williams, although a slick and talented boxer, is not much of a puncher IMO. I wont be surprised if Williams puts Millet on the canvas on his way to winning a decision. My prediction is that Williams will be two steps ahead of Millett at every point in the fight. Although every loss Millet has ever suffered has been by KO inside four rounds I think Millett will clearly be in survival mode at the end of the fight or vainly chasing Williams to no avail, as he will be hopelessly behind. Milletts only chance as I see it is to hope for the lucky punch and Williams has a chin made of china. Even if Williams has a china chin I doubt Millett will be able to land anything significant to crack it. Williams will win an easy clear cut unanimous decision by at least six points on all three judges scorecards in a very one sided fight that will effectively be the death knell of Terron Milletts career.
Ricardo Williams UD over Terron Millett
Marco Antonio Barrera 55-3 (39 KOs) vs. Johnny Tapia 52-2-2 (28 KOs)
(HBO Main Event)
On paper this has the makings of a very intriguing match up but in reality I think this fight is going to be a bust. I will watch this fight of course and it may even turn out to be very action packed at times but when I think of what is likely to happen in a fight between Barrera and Tapia I cant help but think that Tapia is going to be an old man and look it by the end of the night. I am not convinced that Tapia is a legitimate featherweight. I think he has been matched with other featherweights who are either over the hill or were never very good to begin with since he started campaigning as a featherweight. For what its worth I will be pulling for Tapia. For those of you who are not very familiar with Johnny Tapia and his life I strongly recommend going to http://www.johnnytapia.com and reading the biography section. It is one of the most tragic yet inspiring real life stories you will ever read. If you are not a fan of Johnny Tapia after reading this you never will be. I have never particularly cared for Barrera. I guess its because Im a disgruntled Prince fan and still havent gotten over how Barrera dethroned Naseem Hamed.
Both fighters are IMO are coming off fights where if
I had been a judge I would be writing a column on my
predictions for the winner of Erik Morales vs. Manuel
Medina right now. Tapia
landed the better punches against Medina but Medina
more than made up for it in quantity with over 1400
punches thrown by Manuel Medina who I think was clearly
victimized by boxing politics and the power of the Tapia
name.
As for Barrera he certainly beat Morales in the first
fight and should have won. The
second fight I felt Morales won by about three points
but the fight was awarded to Barrera. Only in boxing
do two wrongs make a right. I still feel Barrera is
the better fighter of the two but he relied too much
on counterpunching and waiting for Morales to make the
wrong move in the earlier part of the fight. Fortunately
for Barrera the judges didnt see the fight the
way I saw it and he got away with his mistake.
Tapia will be game throughout the whole fight but I think he will end up losing the majority of rounds while being competitive in every round. Tapias hear will keep him in the fight allowing him to go the distance. My guess is Barrera will pitch a near shut out in a fight that will be lopsided on the scorecards but will have been very hard fought by both combatants.
Marco Antonio Barrera UD over Johnny Tapia
George Khalid Jones 18-1 (13 KOs) vs. Montel Griffin 43-3 (28 KOs)
(Fox Sports SNF Main Event)
Many of you reading this column may recall George Jones as being the other fighter in the tragic death of Beethaeven Scottland who died six days later of injuries he sustained in a boxing match against Jones. For many fighters the death of an opponent can have long lasting psychological effects. Whether that is the case with George Jones I dont know but in Jones following fight with Eric Harding he suffered his first defeat. Scottland was probably largely irrelevant to George Jones performance. I dont think George Jones is even in the same league as Eric Harding as a fighter. George Jones is about a C or C+ level fighter in my estimation of him.
Montel Griffin, in his last fight against Derrick Harmon, looked better than I have seen him in years. Harmons weakness as a fighter as I see it is that he is to willing to let his opponent dictate the pace of the fight. Griffin picked up on this and brought the fight to Harmon winning an easy decision. George Jones in my estimation of him is probably less of a fighter than Harmon but Jones should make for a little competitive fight than Harmon did simply because I dont think Jones is going to be the type to go into survivor mode as soon as he is hurt. George Jones has a decent punch but I dont think he has anything Montel Griffin hasnt seen before. Interestingly enough Montel Griffin has never gotten a 7th round knockout in 46 fights. I think he is due for one.
Montel Griffin KO 7 over George Khalid Jones
Agree? Disagree? Think Im full of it? E-mail me at jdepierro@adelphia.net or post a comment and tell me what you think.
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